SH052022 Impact Assessment

Official Forecast (or best model for invest) Overview

National Level Economic Impact Forecast
country_name totloss
Fiji $ .00 Million USD
Vanuatu $ .00 Million USD

type loss
Total Forecast Impact: $ .00 Million USD

National Level Population Impact Forecast
country_name pop_tswind pop_huwind pop_surge

name pop_tswind pop_huwind pop_surge
Total:      


Forecast Tracks
Raw tropical cyclone models are usually called early or late. Early models are those that run in time to be included in the official forecasts. Late models are more complex global models that take several hours to run, and the most recent run is not available for the forecaster to use in creating their products.

Up to four Ensemble Model outputs are shown (if available). The first is the US GFS model (AEMN). The second is from the Canadian Meteorological Center(CEMN). The third is the European Center for Medium Range Forecasting model (EEMN), and the fourth the US Navy GEM model

The maps here update hourly, and are solely to give you an idea of the information and challenges facing the forecaster. The official forecast is what you should be basing your decisions on!
Model Performance Summary
tech err012 err024 err048 err072 err096 err120 trend
AEMN 39 46 42 50 78 -1 INCREASING
AVNO 39 46 45 54 73 -1 INCREASING
CEMN 48 64 72 77 49 -1 INCREASING
CMC 43 64 70 85 89 -1 INCREASING
HURN 1446 2933 4686 5603 -1 -1 INCREASING
HWRF 29 45 37 117 -1 -1 INCREASING
JTWC 43 53 62 80 80 -1 INCREASING
UKM 25 34 68 108 10808 -1 INCREASING

(8 rows)


Notes:
Average error in nautical miles for this storm as of latest forecast model run. -1 means unavailable.

Intensity Forecast



Report generated by mf1.methaz.org at Thu Jan 13 13:11:12 UTC 2022
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